NPR Poll Finds Bad News For Democrats

NPR has polled vulnerable congressional swing districts and found a strong ant-incumbent and anti-democrat trend. Here is how NPR defines these swing districts.

For this poll, Bolger and Greenberg chose the districts where incumbents are considered the most vulnerable, and, in the case of open seats, the ones most likely to switch party control in November. Sixty are currently held by Democrats — many of whom won these seats even when voters in the same district preferred Republican John McCain for president in 2008. The other 10 districts are the flip side — held by Republicans in the House, even though their voters went for Barack Obama in 2008.

They found grim news for Democrats.



As you can see from the above chart, voters prefer Republican candidates in the 60 Democratic swing districts by a margin of 47 to 42. In Republican swing districts, voters prefer Republicans by a margin of 53 to 37. The 10 traditionally GOP swing districts look solid for Republicans. The 60 traditionally Democrat swing districts look very shaky for Democrats. Poll details here.